SciPost Submission Page
Effects of Hawking evaporation on PBH distributions
by Markus R. Mosbech, Zachary S. C. Picker
This is not the latest submitted version.
This Submission thread is now published as
Submission summary
| Authors (as registered SciPost users): | Markus Mosbech · Zachary Picker |
| Submission information | |
|---|---|
| Preprint Link: | scipost_202203_00022v2 (pdf) |
| Date submitted: | 2022-07-21 07:31 |
| Submitted by: | Mosbech, Markus |
| Submitted to: | SciPost Physics |
| Ontological classification | |
|---|---|
| Academic field: | Physics |
| Specialties: |
|
Abstract
Primordial black holes (PBHs) may lose mass by Hawking evaporation. For sufficiently small PBHs, they may lose a large portion of their formation mass by today, or even evaporate completely if they form with mass $M<\mcrit\sim5\times10^{14}~\mathrm{g}$. We investigate the effect of this mass loss on extended PBH distributions, showing that the shape of the distribution is significantly changed between formation and today. We reconsider the $\gamma$-ray constraints on PBH dark matter in the Milky Way center with a correctly `evolved' lognormal distribution, and derive a semi-analytic time-dependent distribution which can be used to accurately project monochromatic constraints to extended distribution constraints. We also derive the rate of black hole explosions in the Milky Way per year, finding that although there can be a significant number, it is extremely unlikely to find one close enough to Earth to observe. Along with a more careful argument for why monochromatic PBH distributions are unlikely to source an exploding PBH population today, we (unfortunately) conclude that we are unlikely to witness any PBH explosions.
Author comments upon resubmission
We would like to thank the referees for their detailed and helpful responses. They have been invaluable in improving the structure and legibility of the paper, and we believe it has benefited greatly as a result of these suggestions. We have responded to specific comments in the list of changes, individually below each of the original remarks.
List of changes
Referee 1:
Major comments:
i) The structure of the manuscript requires improvement. Material should be presented clearly and concisely, in a logical order. For instance figure 2 appears before the lognormal mass function and the evolution of the PBH mass have been introduced, see also ii) below.
Response: We have restructured the paper, hopefully making it clearer and more concise. Especially note the use of bolded subsections to guide the reader. Figures have been moved to more appropriate locations.
ii) The fact that the dark matter could be in PBHs which today have M<M_crit, and that the present day mass of those PBHs depends sensitively on the initial PBH mass, is a point worth making. However it doesn't warrant an entire section. It could be done in a short paragraph. I don't think Fig. 1 is sufficiently informative to be worth including; the point is more clearly made by the numerical example in the text. The time dependence of the PBH mass plays a crucial role in this point, so this discussion needs to appear after Eqs. (7) and (8).
Response: Fig. 1 has been removed. The monochromatic section has been reworked and shortened into a subsection at the end of sec. II.
iii) The lognormal mass function requires more justification/explanation. Specifically it should be made clear that
a) it's a fit to the PBH mass functions formed by (for instance) the collapse of density perturbations produced by some inflation models,
b) the low mass tail of the initial PBH mass function deviates significantly from a lognormal, see Gow, Byrnes and Hall (https://inspirehep.net/literature/1815484).
The later point may have a non-negligible effect on the constraints.
Response: We have expanded on our justification to the lognormal section, emphasizing that we choose this distribution mainly as a toy model to demonstrate the utility of our method for casting the initial extended distributions to evolved ones, and that it can be used in conjunction with methods to cast monochromatic constraints onto extended ones. We cited the paper by Gow et al with a note that more detailed calculations may result in deviations from lognormal.
iv) The figure captions need rewriting. Figure captions should comprehensively, but concisely, describe what is shown in the figure. Discussion of implications should take place in the main body of the paper. For instance, in Fig. 4, what exactly do the crosses, dots, solid and dotted lines denote? The caption for Fig. 5 is far too long.
Response: Figure captains have been substantially rewritten and important discussions moved to the main body.
v) Section 5 needs to be put into context. What previous work has been done on the detectability of BH explosions? How do your calculations and conclusions differ?
Response: We have expanded the beginning of (now) section 4 and added some literature for context. We cited a number of recent papers as well which finds no observational evidence for gamma ray bursts which could be black hole explosions. Our calculation then differs from these papers in that we are theoretically calculating how many explosions we should witness, given an initial PBH distribution. We find very low chances of witnessing such an event, so that the observational lack of bursts is indeed unsurprising.
vi) The manuscript should be proofread carefully, to make sure that the English is clear and precise. There are various unclear and/or unscientific statements. e.g. "which species are possible to emit", "does not make for a nice analytic solution", "the evolution itself is evolving", "there is a lot of possibility when the entire particle spectrum is produced" "convert... ...to a plot... ...which we plot..."
Response: writing has been edited and improved throughout the document, including the examples mentioned above.
Minor comments:
i) Ref. [28] should also be cited at the end of the sentence "Typically these constraints... ... growing interest in studying extended mass distributions [10-14]"
Response: citation included.
ii) MacGibbon, Carr and Page (https://inspirehep.net/literature/760905), should be cited for the numerical value of M_crit.
Response: citation added
iii) The original source of Eq.(7) should be cited in the text preceeding it.
Response: we are not sure what the original source would be, in this case. Eq.6 is a very simple separated ODE which is readily solved by hand. We are sure it has been done many times in various forms, but it seems too trivial to warrant a citation.
iv) g is missing after 10^{18} at the bottom of page 6.
Response: typo has been fixed
v) If I recall correctly, the M^2 scaling of the PBH mass function at low masses has previously been found, possibly by Carr and collaborators. This should be checked, and a citation added, if this is the case.
Response: Indeed, arxiv:1604.05349 appears to be the paper where this scaling was found, in a similar if slightly more specific context than we were interested in. We have added the citation where relevant.
vi) Journal details are missing from some references.
Response: these should all be included now, at least for references that have been published in journals.
Referee 2:
i) Basically, I also agree with the main points raised by the first referee (Anonymous Report 1 ). The concrete calculations and computations done in this article with the lognormal distribution of PBHs warrant publication in SciPost Physics.
However, modifications of the distribution for evaporating PBHs with near critical masses (O(1.e15) gram) themselves have been known well, and constrained on PBHs obtained by gamma-ray observations towards the Galactic center have been also studied in details, e.g., in Carr et al, 2016, arXiv1604.05349 for both broad and monochromatic distributions although the broad distributions assumed in arXiv1604.05349 were not the lognormal one.
Response: We have included the 2016 Carr citation explicitly (instead of just citing their most recent PBH constraint review paper). The gamma ray constraints in this paper overlap with those performed previously, as our goal for this section was to demonstrate the utility of our Eq. 11 with a specific example, as well as clearly show the difference between using an evolved distribution and a non-evolved. We have modified the text and hopefully made this point more clear.
ii) In addition, it is also known that observational non-detections of the explosion should not severaly constrain abundances of the PBHs with near critical masses compared with the ones obtained by either isotropic diffuse gamma-ray backgroud shown in Ref.[8] or galactic gamma-rays. However, it is valualbe to show this thing explicitely as was don in this paper.
Response: Indeed, we agree that it was (probably) known that observing individual explosions was unlikely, although we’re not sure of a specific paper pointing this out. We wanted to check quantitatively, however, as there seems to be a growing interest in the possibility of observing an explosion up close.
Current status:
Reports on this Submission
Report #1 by Anonymous (Referee 3) on 2022-7-22 (Invited Report)
- Cite as: Anonymous, Report on arXiv:scipost_202203_00022v2, delivered 2022-07-22, doi: 10.21468/SciPost.Report.5439
Strengths
The authors have improved the overall presentation of the manuscript significantly.
Weaknesses
However there are still some more minor presentational issues which should be addressed before it is published in SciPost.
Report
The results presented in the manuscript are sufficiently interesting to warrant publication in SciPost, however improvements to the presentation are required.
Requested changes
1) Extended mass functions
i) The motivation for considering extended mass functions should be stated briefly in the introduction.
ii) The discussion of the lognormal distribution in Sec. 3 is incorrect/misleading. Refs. [15] and [32] show that the lognormal is a reasonable fit to the mass functions produced by the collapse of large inflationary density perturbations (taking into account critical collapse). They don't show that a lognormal is "expected to result". Ref. [37] doesn't consider "more detailed scenarios". It considers exactly the same scenarios, but points out that the low mass tail of the distribution deviates significantly from a lognormal (something which can in fact be observed in Fig. 2 of Ref. [15]) and provides alternative fits.
2) Figure captions
The figure captions still require improvement. As stated in my previous report "Figure captions should comprehensively, but concisely, describe what is shown in the figure." i.e. the caption should state what is shown in each panel and what each line shows. Figure captions shouldn't start with "We plot". See, e.g., the Physical Review Style and Notation Guide: https://journals.aps.org/files/styleguide-pr.pdf for the conventions in this research field.
3) Unclear/misleading phrasing
i) Delete "even" from "or even evaporate completely if they form with mass M < Mcrit ∼ 5 × 1014 g." as this make it sound as if this is possible rather than definite.
ii) p4 "Explicit written solution" -> "analytic solution"
iii) "M=0 portion of the integral is lost" should be rewritten to make it clear that it's the low mass tail and not just M=0.
iv) p6 "heavy numerical work" -> "extensive numerical calculations"
v) cation figure 3: "the unevolved signal" a theoretical calculation should not be described as a signal
vi) p9 "In Fig. 5 we convert the evolving PBH distribution to a plot of black hole explosions per volume per year." -> "In Fig. 5 we show the black hole explosion rate per unit volume from the evolved PBH distributions" or similar.
vii) caption fig. 5: "sixten"
viii) p12 "saves the method" is too informal and overstated.