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Towards a Seismology Foundation Model

by Waleed Esmail, Alexander Kappes, Stuart Russell, Christine Thomas

Submission summary

Authors (as registered SciPost users): Waleed Esmail
Submission information
Preprint Link: scipost_202509_00067v1  (pdf)
Date accepted: Dec. 9, 2025
Date submitted: Sept. 30, 2025, 9:34 p.m.
Submitted by: Waleed Esmail
Submitted to: SciPost Physics Proceedings
Proceedings issue: The 2nd European AI for Fundamental Physics Conference (EuCAIFCon2025)
Ontological classification
Academic field: Physics
Specialties:
  • Gravitation, Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics
Approach: Computational
Disclosure of Generative AI use

The author(s) disclose that the following generative AI tools have been used in the preparation of this submission:

OpenAI ChatGPT was used only for paraphrasing, sentence reformulation, and improving readability. No scientific results or data were generated with AI tools.

Abstract

In this article we introduce SeismoGPT, a step toward a foundation model for seismology, developed to forecast three-component seismic waveforms with direct application to future gravitational wave detectors such as the Einstein Telescope. SeismoGPT learns to predict the next token in an autoregressive framework. It can be applied to both single-station and multi-station seismic array, learning both temporal and spatial dependencies directly from raw waveform. Beyond immediate forecasting, SeismoGPT represents a step toward a general-purpose framework for seismology, one that could support Newtonian-noise mitigation, real-time observatory control, and ultimately broader seismic monitoring and prediction tasks.

Current status:
Accepted in target Journal

Editorial decision: For Journal SciPost Physics Proceedings: Publish
(status: Editorial decision fixed and (if required) accepted by authors)


Reports on this Submission

Report #1 by Anonymous (Referee 1) on 2025-11-21 (Invited Report)

Strengths

1-interesting work relevant to seismic noise mitigation for future gravitational wave detectors
2-succinct

Weaknesses

1-could have a more comprehensive characterisation of the performance of the proposed methodology.

Report

This article presents some initial outcomes from the application of a GPT model to predict seismic waves. These initial outcomes look very promising. A more thorough characterisation of the methodology is lacking but understandable given the page limit and format of the proceedings article.

Requested changes

None

Recommendation

Publish (easily meets expectations and criteria for this Journal; among top 50%)

  • validity: good
  • significance: good
  • originality: good
  • clarity: good
  • formatting: excellent
  • grammar: excellent

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